By understanding how users decide on their commuting modes, it is possible to identify factors that can be influenced to change travel behavior and promote the adoption of more sustainable transportation modes. Agent-based modeling (ABM) is particularly valuable for this purpose, as it can represent complex systems like transportation and identify emerging collective behaviors resulting from the autonomous decisions of transport users interacting among them and with the environment (Kagho, Balac, and Axhausen 2020). These capabilities make ABM suitable for analyzing the impacts of transport policies (Wise, Crooks, and Batty 2017). However, the application of ABM in analyzing transport mode choices has been limited and studies have been conducted predominantly in developed countries (Cadavid and Salazar-Serna 2021; Salazar-Serna, Cadavid, Franco, and Carley 2023). The effectiveness of these findings may not extend seamlessly to developing regions due to different contextual policy needs and the distinct ways socioeconomic and cultural factors influence human behavior (Carley 1991; Salazar-Serna et al. 2023). Therefore, policies that have been successful in one setting might not achieve similar outcomes in another. Previous studies in transportation have identified various determinants affecting mode choice. These factors can be grouped into several categories: sociodemographic characteristics such as age, sex, occupation, and income level (Ashalatha et al. 2013); travel habits including distance traveled, travel time, origin-destination pairs, and trip purpose (Madhuwanthi et al. 2016); and attributes of the built environment like design, density, and capacity (Ewing and Cervero 2010). Additionally, attitudes and perceptions regarding transport modes, which cover aspects such as comfort, cost, security, safety, quality, and reliability, play a crucial role (Fu 2021).

Deciphering travel behavior and mode choices is a critical aspect of effective urban transportation system management, particularly in developing countries where unique socio-economic and cultural conditions complicate decision-making. Agent-based simulations offer a valuable tool for modeling transportation systems, enabling a nuanced understanding and policy impact evaluation. This work aims to shed light on the effects of transport policies and analyzes travel behavior by simulating agents making mode choices for their daily commutes. Agents gather information from the environment and their social network to assess the optimal transport option based on personal satisfaction criteria. Our findings, stemming from simulating a free-fare policy for public transit in a developing-country city, reveal a significant influence on decision-making, fostering public service use while positively influencing pollution levels, accident rates, and travel speed.

This work introduces a framework to address the computational complexity inherent in Mixed-Integer Programming (MIP) models by harnessing the potential of deep learning. We compare the effectiveness of (a) feed-forward neural networks (ANN) and (b) convolutional neural networks (CNN) in approximating the active dimensions within MIP problems. We utilize multi-label classification to account for more than one active dimension. To enhance the framework's performance, we employ Bayesian optimization for hyperparameter tuning, aiming to maximize sample-level accuracy. The primary objective is to train the neural networks to predict all active dimensions accurately, thereby maximizing the occurrence of global optimum solutions. We apply this framework to a flow-based facility location allocation Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) formulation that describes long-term investment planning and medium-term tactical planning in a personalized medicine supply chain for cell therapy manufacturing and distribution.

Agent-based simulations have been used in modeling transportation systems for traffic management and passenger flows. In this work, we hope to shed light on the complex factors that influence transportation mode decisions within developing countries, using Colombia as a case study. We model an ecosystem of human agents that decide at each time step on the mode of transportation they would take to work. Their decision is based on a combination of their personal satisfaction with the journey they had just taken, which is evaluated across a personal vector of needs, the information they crowdsource from their prevailing social network, and their personal uncertainty about the experience of trying a new transport solution. We simulate different network structures to analyze the social influence for different decision-makers. We find that in low/medium connected groups inquisitive people actively change modes cyclically over the years while imitators cluster rapidly and change less frequently.

Passengers respond heterogeneously to such disruptive events based on numerous factors. This study takes a data-driven approach to explore multi-modal demand dynamics under disruptions. We first develop a methodology to automatically detect anomalous instances through historical hourly travel demand data. Then we apply clustering to these anomalous hours to distinguish various forms of multi-modal demand dynamics occurring during disruptions. Our study provides a straightforward tool for categorising various passenger responses to disruptive events in terms of mode choice and paves the way for predictive analyses on estimating the scope of modal shift under distinct disruption scenarios.

Birmingham scientists have collaboratively worked with Hitachi Europe to develop a new artificial intelligence embedded in smartphone that helps to recognise transport and mobility patterns in real time. Travel mode recognition as well as activity recognition has gained some momentum in recent years. Travel mode recognition can be viewed similarly as activity recognition and can be solved as a classification problem where Machine Learning is widely used in this area. The University of Birmingham and Hitachi Europe have jointly developed new, innovative AI models, capable of recognising the complex and fuzzy patterns of mobility and transport modes. In recent years, mobile sensing has gained a strong momentum in various technological applications in the Industry 4.0 era.

The urban transportation system is a combination of multiple transport modes, and the interdependencies across those modes exist. This means that the travel demand across different travel modes could be correlated as one mode may receive demand from or create demand for another mode, not to mention natural correlations between different demand time series due to general demand flow patterns across the network. It is expectable that cross-modal ripple effects become more prevalent, with Mobility as a Service. Therefore, by propagating demand data across modes, a better demand prediction could be obtained. To this end, this study explores various machine learning models and transfer learning strategies for cross-modal demand prediction. The trip data of bike-share, metro, and taxi are processed as the station-level passenger flows, and then the proposed prediction method is tested in the large-scale case studies of Nanjing and Chicago. The results suggest that prediction models with transfer learning perform better than unimodal prediction models. Furthermore, stacked Long Short-Term Memory model performs particularly well in cross-modal demand prediction. These results verify our combined method's forecasting improvement over existing benchmarks and demonstrate the good transferability for cross-modal demand prediction in multiple cities.

In this paper, we present an algorithm for creating a synthetic population for the Greater Melbourne area using a combination of machine learning, probabilistic, and gravity-based approaches. We combine these techniques in a hybrid model with three primary innovations: 1. when assigning activity patterns, we generate individual activity chains for every agent, tailored to their cohort; 2. when selecting destinations, we aim to strike a balance between the distance-decay of trip lengths and the activity-based attraction of destination locations; and 3. we take into account the number of trips remaining for an agent so as to ensure they do not select a destination that would be unreasonable to return home from. Our method is completely open and replicable, requiring only publicly available data to generate a synthetic population of agents compatible with commonly used agent-based modeling software such as MATSim. The synthetic population was found to be accurate in terms of distance distribution, mode choice, and destination choice for a variety of population sizes.

Staying ahead of the technology curve means strengthening your competitive advantage. That is why we give you data-driven innovation insights into the mobility industry. This time, you get to discover 5 hand-picked startups developing artificial intelligence (AI) solutions. The insights of this data-driven analysis are derived from the Big Data & Artificial Intelligence-powered StartUs Insights Discovery Platform, covering 1.379.000 The platform gives you an exhaustive overview of emerging technologies & relevant startups within a specific field in just a few clicks.

Accurate demand forecasting of different public transport modes(e.g., buses and light rails) is essential for public service operation.However, the development level of various modes often varies sig-nificantly, which makes it hard to predict the demand of the modeswith insufficient knowledge and sparse station distribution (i.e.,station-sparse mode). Intuitively, different public transit modes mayexhibit shared demand patterns temporally and spatially in a city.As such, we propose to enhance the demand prediction of station-sparse modes with the data from station-intensive mode and designaMemory-Augmented Multi-taskRecurrent Network (MATURE)to derive the transferable demand patterns from each mode andboost the prediction of station-sparse modes through adaptingthe relevant patterns from the station-intensive mode. Specifically,MATUREcomprises three components: 1) a memory-augmentedrecurrent network for strengthening the ability to capture the long-short term information and storing temporal knowledge of eachtransit mode; 2) a knowledge adaption module to adapt the rele-vant knowledge from a station-intensive source to station-sparsesources; 3) a multi-task learning framework to incorporate all theinformation and forecast the demand of multiple modes jointly.The experimental results on a real-world dataset covering four pub-lic transport modes demonstrate that our model can promote thedemand forecasting performance for the station-sparse modes.